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MongoDB Basics Part-II

In our previous blog we discussed about few of the basic functions of MQL like .find() , .count() , .pretty() etc. and in this blog we will continue to do the same. At the end of the blog there is a quiz for you to solve, feel free to test your knowledge and wisdom you have gained so far.

Given below is the list of functions that can be used for data wrangling:-

  1. updateOne() :- This function is used to change the current value of a field in a single document.

After changing the database to “sample_geospatial” we want to see what the document looks like? So for that we will use .findOne() function.

Now lets update the field value of “recrd” from ‘ ’ to “abc” where the “feature_type” is ‘Wrecks-Visible’.

Now within the .updateOne() funtion any thing in the first part of { } is the condition on the basis of which we want to update the given document and the second part is the changes which we want to make. Here we are saying that set the value as “abc” in the “recrd” field . In case you wanted to increase the value by a certain number ( assuming that the value is integer or float) you can use “$inc” instead.

2. updateMany() :- This function updates many documents at once based on the condition provided.

3. deleteOne() & deleteMany() :- These functions are used to delete one or many documents based on the given condition or field.

4. Logical Operators :-

“$and” : It is used to match all the conditions.

“$or” : It is used to match any of the conditions.

The first code matches both the conditions i.e. name should be “Wetpaint” and “category_code” should be “web”, whereas the second code matches any one of the conditions i.e. either name should be “Wetpaint” or “Facebook”. Try these codes and see the difference by yourself.

 

So, with that we come to the end of the discussion on the MongoDB Basics. Hopefully it helped you understand the topic, for more information you can also watch the video tutorial attached down this blog. The blog is designed and prepared by Niharika Rai, Analytics Consultant, DexLab Analytics DexLab Analytics offers machine learning courses in Gurgaon. To keep on learning more, follow DexLab Analytics blog.


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MongoDB Basics Part-I

In this particular blog we will discuss about few of the basic functions of MQL (MongoDB Query Language) and we will also see how to use them? We will be using MongoDB Compass shell (MongoSH Beta) which is available in the latest version of MongoDB Compass.

Connect your Atlas cluster to your MongoDB Compass to get started. Latest version of  MongoDB Compass will have this shell, so if you don’t find this shell then please install the latest version for this to work.

Now lets start with the functions.

  1. find() :- You need this function for data extraction in the shell.

In the shell we need to first write the “use database name”  code to access the database  then use .find() to extract data which has name “Wetpaint”

For the above query we get the following result:-

 

The above result brings us to another function .pretty() .

2. pretty() :- this function helps us see the result more clearly.

Try it yourself to compare the results.

3. count() :- Now lets see how many entries we have by the company name “Wetpaint”.

So we have only one document.

4. Comparison operators :-

“$eq” : Equal to

“$neq”: Not equal to

“$gt”: Greater than

“$gte”: Greater than equal to

“$lt”: Less than

“$lte”: Less than equal to

Lets see how this works.

5. findOne() :- To get a single document from a collection we use this function.

 

6. insert() :- This is used to insert documents in a collection.

Now lets check if we have been able to insert this document or not.

Notice that a unique id has been added to the document by default. The given id has to be unique or else there will be an error. To provide a user defined  id use “_id”.

 

So, with that we come to the end of the discussion on the MongoDB. Hopefully it helped you understand the topic, for more information you can also watch the video tutorial attached down this blog. The blog is designed and prepared by Niharika Rai, Analytics Consultant, DexLab Analytics DexLab Analytics offers machine learning courses in Gurgaon. To keep on learning more, follow DexLab Analytics blog.


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How AI is Reshaping The Finance Industry?

How AI Is Reshaping The Finance Industry?

Technology is bringing about rapid changes in almost every field it touches. Traditional finance tools no longer suit the current tech-friendly generation of investors who are now used to getting information, service at their fingertips. Unless the gap is bridged, it would be hard for firms to retain any clients. Some of the financial firms have already started investing in AI technology to develop a business model that satisfies the changing requirements of the customers and leverages their business.

The adoption of AI has finally enabled the firms to have access to customer-centric information to develop a plan that suits their individual financial goals and offer customer-centric solutions to offer a personalized experience.

AI is impacting the financial industry in more ways than one. Let’s take a look

Mitigating risks

The application of AI has enabled institutes to assess risk factors and mitigate risk. Implementation of AI tools allows the processing of a huge amount of financial records that comprise structured as well as unstructured data to recognize patterns and predict the risk factors. So, while approving a loan, for example, an institute could be better prepared as it would be able to identify those customers who are likely to default and having personnel with a background in credit risk management courses can certainly be of immense help here.

Detecting fraud

One of the most niggling issues faced by the banking institutes is a fraud, and with AI application being available fraud identification gets easier. When any such case happens it becomes almost impossible for institutes to recover the money. Along with that the banks especially also have to deal with false positives cases that can harm their business. Credit card fraud cases also have become rampant and give customers and banks sleepless nights. AI technology could be a great weapon in fighting and preventing such cases. By analyzing data regarding the transaction of a customer, his behavior, spending habits, past cases if any, an oddity could be easily spotted and an alarm could be sent to monitor the situation and take measures accordingly.

Trading gets easier

Investment always comes with a set of risks, the changing market scenario could certainly put your money in a volatile situation. However, with AI in place, the large datasets could be easily handled, and detecting market situations can help to make investors aware of the trends and they can change their investment decision accordingly. Faster data processing leads to quick decision making and coupled with an accurate prediction of the market situation, trading gets smarter as an investor can buy or, sell stock as per stock trends and stay risk-free.

Personalized banking experience

The integration of AI can offer customers a personalized financial experience. The chatbots are there to help the customers manage their affairs without needing any intervention. Be it checking balance or, scheduling payments everything is streamlined. In addition to this, the customers now have access to apps that help keep their financial transactions in check, track their investments, and plan finances without any hassle. There have been a dynamic progress in the field of NLP and the chatbots being developed now are getting smarter than ever and pursuing a natural language processing course in gurgaon, could lead to lucrative job opportunities.

 Process Automation

Every financial institution needs to run operations with maximum efficiency while adopting cost-cutting measures. The adoption of RPA has significantly changed the way these institutes function. Manual tasks which require time and labor could easily be automated and there would be fewer chances of error. Be it data verification or, report generation every single task could be well taken care of.

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Examples of AI implementation in finance

  • Zest Automated Machine Learning (ZAML) is a platform that offers underwriting solutions. Borrowers with little or, no past credit history could be assessed.
  • Kensho combines the power of NLP and cloud computing to offer analytical solutions
  • Ayasdi provides anti-money laundering (AML) detection solutions to financial institutes
  • Abe AI is a virtual assistant that helps users with budgeting and saving while allowing them to track spending.
  • Darktrace offers cyber security solutions to financial firms

The powerful ways AI is helping the financial institutes excel in their field indicate a promising future ahead. However, the integration is slowly taking place, and still, there is some uncertainty regarding the technology. With proper training from an analytics lab could help bridge the knowledge gap and thus ensure full integration of this dynamic technology.


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The Growing Significance of AI in Credit Risk Management

The Growing Significance of AI in Credit Risk Management

With more and more sectors turning to AI to find real-time solutions, it is no wonder that AI would gain momentum in the field of credit risk management as well. AI adds efficiency to the process by offering an insight into the portfolios of potential borrowers, which was not available to financial firms up until now. This trend is pushing corporate houses to sign up for credit risk analytics training.

Let’s have a look at credit risk management and figure out how AI can play a key role in building the perfect model.

What is credit risk management

Banks and financial firms lend money to individuals as well as businesses, now credit risk refers to the uncertainty arising due to that borrower, delaying or failing to pay the amount borrowed along with interest resulting in the bank losing money. Remember that infamous recession of 2008?

Credit risk management is about mitigating the risk factor in the process. It involves identifying, analyzing, and measuring the risk factors to keep the risk at a minimal level, or, eliminating the risk if possible.

How AI features in credit risk management

In order to eliminate risk, the bank needs to identify the risk factors, which means going through data, mainly regarding the borrower’s financial activities, portfolio to decide whether that particular individual or, a commercial firm would be able to pay the money back before lending can happen.

But, the process needs to be as much error-free as possible, because while analyzing the portfolios any mistake could lead to failure to recognize a potential defaulter, or, might result in rejecting an applicant who could have been a valuable customer in future. Credit Risk Modelling Courses are being developed to train professionals to deal with this highly specialized task.

AI and especially its subset Machine Learning come into this picture, due to the massive amount of structured and unstructured data involved in the process. The traditional methodology applied by financial institutes is not error-free. processing a huge amount of raw data and identifying patterns is a job that is better handled by AI.

The benefits AI bring to the table

Despite financial firms implementing all sorts of solutions available to them, achieving efficiency in credit risk management has remained a challenge for them due to not having access to smart risk assessment tools, fault in the data management procedure. This is primarily the reason why AI is now being incorporated in the process to achieve better results. With Artificial Neural Networks, Random Forest in place, sorting through loan applications and portfolios to process valuable data and finding patterns becomes easier. Undergoing credit risk modelling certification is almost mandatory for any individual looking forward to having a career in this field. Here are the benefits AI has to offer

  • Data quality: When traditional models are employed they fail to deal with the issue of data quality which for any financial institute could be a big problem. But with Machine learning detecting any oddity in the data entry is easy. Another fact is that detecting complex patterns from diverse data sets to analyze risk factors is essential which traditional models are not equipped to perform.
  • Segmentation is better: While analyzing customer portfolios, AI could help in introducing smart segmentation solutions to gain a deep insight into their profiles, thus ensuring efficient risk recognition.
  • Automated process: Usually organizations have to put together a team for dealing with data handling and report generation tasks, but AI can automate the whole process and minimize the chances of human error while allowing the organizations to set people free to deal with other vital work. Automation would also lead to faster loan processing.
  • Intuitive analysis guarantees accuracy: Usually, traditional models are somewhat rigid, due to functioning as per set guidelines. However, with AI the analysis gets intuitive and as it continues to wade through new data sets, it continues to learn and come up with more accurate predictions.

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Credit risk management will continue to be a key area for financial firms in the future as well, given the present circumstances, the risk factor would only grow. So, it is time for this sector to recognize and embrace the potential of AI in mitigating the risk.

 


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DexLab Analytics Rated One of The Best Institutes in India

DexLab Analytics Rated One of The Best Institutes in India

Analytics India Magazine (AIM), one of the foremost journals on big data and AI in India, has rated Dexlab Analytics’ credit risk modelling course one of the best in India and recommended it be taken up to learn the subject in 2020. Dexlab Analytics is on AIM’s list of nine best online courses on the subject.

In an article, the AIM has rated DexLab Analytics as a premier institute offering a robust course in credit risk modelling. Credit risk modelling is “the analysis of the credit risk that helps in understanding the uncertainty that a lender runs before lending money to borrowers”.

The article describes the Dexlab Analytics course as offering learners “an opportunity to understand the measure of central tendency theorem, measures of dispersion, probability theory and probability distribution, sampling techniques, estimation theory, types of statistical tests, linear regression, logistic regression. Besides, you will learn the application of machine learning algorithms such as Decision tree, Random Forest, XGBoost, Support Vector Machine, banking products and processes, uses of the scorecard, scorecard model development, use of scorecard for designing business strategies of a bank, LGD, PD, EAD, and much more.”

The other bodies offering competent courses on the subject on AIM’s list are Udemy, SAS, Redcliffe Training, EDUCBA, Moneyweb CPD HUB, 365 DataScience and DataCamp.

Analytics India Magazine chronicles technological progress in the space of analytics, artificial intelligence, data science & big data by highlighting the innovations, players, and challenges shaping the future of India through promotion and discussion of ideas and thoughts by smart, ardent, action-oriented individuals who want to change the world.

Since 2012, Analytics India Magazine has been dedicated to passionately championing and promoting the analytics ecosystem in India. We have been a pre-eminent source of news, information and analysis for the Indian analytics ecosystem, covering opinions, analysis, and insights on key breakthroughs and future trends in data-driven technologies as well as highlighting how they’re being leveraged for future impact.

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Dexlab Analytics has been thriving as one of the prominent institutes offering the best selection of courses on Big Data Hadoop, R Programming, Python, Business Analytics, Data Science, Machine Learning, Deep Learning, Data Visualization using Tableau and Excel. Moreover, it aims to achieve Corporate Training Excellence with each training it conducts.

For more information on this, click here – www.prlog.org/12826797-dexlab-analytics-listed-as-one-of-the-best-institutes-in-india.html

 


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Stay Home and Upskill to Beat the Impact of a Global Recession

Stay Home and Upskill to Beat the Impact of a Global Recession

The US economy, as it was officially announced by the United States National Bureau of Economic Research on June 8, entered a recession in February after hitting a peak of economic activity and growth. This is the first time the US economy has undergone a recession since the global financial crisis of 2008-09, says a report.

In the US alone, 19.6 lakh cases of covid-19 positive patients have been reported till date with 1.1 lakh cases of deaths recorded, the highest for any country in the world. In such a dire situation, the silver lining seems to be the fact that this recession, intensified by the lockdown that the country has imposed on itself to abate the spread of the disease, might be deep but short lived, The New York Times reported.

Irrespective of when the recession will end, poverty levels have already begun spiking the world over. The World Bank has said that, “the highest share of countries in 150 years would enter recessions at the same time. As many as 90% of the 183 economies () examined are expected to suffer from falling levels of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2020, even more than the 85% of nations suffering from recession during the Great Depression of the 1930s”, The Guardian reported.

This will lead to dramatic rise in levels of poverty the world over. However, India might fare better on the global front for more reasons than one. Some economists feel “the (Indian) economy may do better than some other developing economies, which are heavily dependent on world trade” because of “lower dependence on exports (that) means less exposure to the decline in world trade. This and the low price of crude oil, our biggest import, may mean that we don’t suffer an external shock”.

In such circumstances, it is advisable that you stay home and not despair. Doing nothing but fretting will only add to your woes and not help the situation. Neither will binge-watching web series help. Instead, what you can do is ready yourself for a post COVID-19 world. You can do this by primarily upskilling yourself i.e.upgrading your skill set.

The only way to do this is remotely, though online classes available by the dozen. In fact, celebrities like Shakira have begun taking online classes (she in ancient philosophy) this lockdown while others like director Kevin Smith have finished old pending projects. The best skills to upgrade would, however, be those pertaining to computer science courses like big data, machine learning, deep learning or even credit risk modelling. These high-in-demand courses will look good on your résumé and instantly add to your employability wherever you plan to move to next.

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In India, DexLab Analytics, a premier institute offering some of the best credit risk modelling training courses and R programming courses in Gurgaon, suggests you try and learn a new programming language or enrol in a new business analytics course so your résumé stands stronger than it was before the lockdown. This will help you beat competition when you will be searching for work opportunities post the lockdown.

 


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A Beginner’s Guide to Credit Risk Modelling

A Beginner’s Guide to Credit Risk Modelling

When a lender starts a financial institution with the aim of lending money to entities, he is most strongly fortified against credit risk. He undertakes several measures to lower credit risk and this is called credit risk modelling.

“A good credit risk assessment can prevent avoidable losses for an organization. When a borrower is found to be a debtor, it could dent their creditworthiness. The lender will be skeptical about offering loans for fear of not getting it back,” says a report.

Credit risk assessment is done to gauge whether a borrower can pay back a loan. The credit risk of a consumer is determined by the five Cs – capacity to repay, associated collateral, credit history, capital, and the loan’s conditions.

“If a borrower’s credit risk is high, their loan’s interest rate will be increased. Credit risk shows the likelihood of a lender losing their loaned money to a borrower.”Credit risk highlights a borrower’s ability to honour his contractual agreements and repay loans.

“Conventionally, it deals with the risk every lender must be familiar with, which is losing the principal and interest owed. The aftermath of this is a disturbance to the lender’s cash flow and the possibility of losing more money in a bid to recover the loan.”

Credit Risk Modelling

While there is no pronounced way to determine the credit risk of an individual, credit risk modeling is an instrument that has largely come to be used by financial institutions to accurate measure credit risk.

“Credit risk modeling involves the use of data models to decide on two important issues. The first calculates the possibility of a default on the part of a loan borrower. The second determines how injurious such default will be on the lender’s financial statement.”

Financial Statement Analysis Models

Popular examples of these models include Moody’s RiskCalc and Altman Z-score. “The financial statements obtained from borrowing institutions are analyzed and then used as the basis of these models.”

Default Probability Models

The Merton model is a suitable example of this kind of credit risk modeling. The Merton model is also a structural model. Models like this take into account a company’s capital structure “because it is believed here that if the value of a company falls below a certain threshold, then the company is bound to fail and default on its loans”.

Machine Learning Models

“The influence of machine learning and big data on credit risk modeling has given rise to more scientific and accurate credit risk models. One example of this is the Maximum Expected Utility model.”

The 5Cs of Credit Risk Evaluation

These are quantitative and qualitative methods adopted for the evaluation of a borrower.

  1. Character

“This generally looks into the track record of a borrower to know their reputation in the aspect of loan repayment.”

  1. Capacity

“This takes the income of the borrower into consideration and measures it against their recurring debt. This also delves into the borrower’s debt-to-income (DTI) ratio.”

  1. Capital

The amount of money a borrower is willing to contribute to a potential project can determine if the lender will lend him money.

  1. Collateral

“It gives the lender a win-win situation, in the sense that upon a default, the lender can sell the collateral to recover the loan.”

  1. Conditions

“This takes information such as the amount of principal and interest rate into consideration for a loan application. Another factor that can be considered as conditions is the reason for the loan.”

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Conclusion

There is no formula anywhere that exposes the borrower who is going to default on loan repayment. However, the proper assessment of credit risk can go a long way in reducing the impact of a loss on a lender. For more on this, do visit the DexLab Analytics website today. DexLab Analtyics is a premiere institute that provides credit risk analysis courses online.

 


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Credit Risk Modeling: A Comprehensive Guide

Credit Risk Modeling: A Comprehensive Guide

Credit Risk Modeling is the analysis of the credit risk of a borrower. It helps in understanding the risk, which a lender may face when he offers a credit.

What is Credit Risk?

Credit risk is the risk involved in any kind of loan. In other words, it is the risk that a lender runs when he lends a sum to somebody. It is thus, the risk of not getting back the principal sum or the interests of it on time.
Suppose, a person is lending a sum to his friend, then the credit risk models will help him to assess the probability of timely payments and estimate the total loss in case of defaulters.

Credit Risk Modelling and its Importance

In the fast-paced world of now, a loss cannot be afforded at any cost. Here’s where the Credit Risk Modeling steps in. It primarily benefits the lenders by accurate approximation of the credit risk of a borrower and thereby, cutting the losses short.

Credit Risk Modelling is extensively used by financial institutions around the world to estimate the credit risk of potential borrowers. It helps them in calculating the interest rates of the loans and also deciding on whether they would grant a particular loan or not.

The Changing Models for the Analysis of Credit Risks

With the rapid progress of technology, the traditional models of credit risks are giving way to newer models using R and Python. Moreover, credit risk modeling using the state-of-the-art tools of analytics and Big Data are gaining huge popularity.

Along with the changing technology, the advancing economies and the successive emergence of a range of credit risks have also transformed the credit risk models of the past.

What Affects Credit Risk Modeling?

A lender runs a varying range of risks from disruption of cash flows to a hike in the collection costs, from the loss of interest/interests to losing the whole sum altogether. Thus, Credit Risk Modelling is paramount in importance at this age we are living. Therefore, the process of assessing credit risk should be as exact as feasible.

However, in this process, there are 3 main factors that regulate the risk of the credit of the borrowers. Here they are:

  1. The Probability of Default (PD) – This refers to the possibility of a borrower defaulting a loan and is thus, a significant factor to be considered when modeling credit risks. For the individuals, the PD score is modeled on the debt-income ratio and existing credit score. This score helps in figuring out the interest rates and the amount of down payment.
  2. Loss Given Default (LGD) – The Loss Given Default or LGD is the estimation of the total loss that the lender would incur in case the debt remains unpaid. This is also a critical parameter that you should weigh before lending a sum. For instance, if two different borrowers are borrowing two different sums, the credit risk profiles of the borrower with a large sum would vary greatly to the other, who is borrowing a much smaller sum of money, even though their credit score and debt-income ratio match exactly with each other.
  3. Exposure at Default (EAD) – EAD helps in calculating the total exposure that a lender is subjected to at any given point in time. This is also a significant factor exposing the risk appetite of the lender, which considerably affects the credit risk.

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Endnotes

Though credit risk assessment seems like a tough job to assume the repayment of a particular loan and its defaulters, it is a peerless method which will give you an idea of the losses that you might incur in case of delayed payments or defaulters.

 


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Bayesian Thinking & Its Underlying Principles

Bayesian Thinking & Its Underlying Principles

In the previous blog on Bayes’ Theorem, we left off at an interesting junction where we just touched upon the ideas on prior odds ratio, likelihood ratio and the resulting Posterior Odds Ratio. However, we didn’t go into much detail of what it means in real life scenarios and how should we use them.

In this blog, we will introduce the powerful concept of “Bayesian Thinking” and explain why it is so important. Bayesian Thinking is a practical application of the Bayes’ Theorem which can be used as a powerful decision-making tool too!

We’ll consider an example to understand how Bayesian Thinking is used to make sound decisions.

For the sake of simplicity, let’s imagine a management consultation firm hires only two types of employees. Let’s say, IT professionals and business consultants. You come across an employee of this firm, let’s call him Raj. You notice something about Raj instantly. Raj is shy. Now if you were asked to guess which type of employee Raj is what would be your guess?

If your guess is that Raj is an IT guy based on shyness as an attribute, then you have already fallen for one of the inherent cognitive biases. We’ll talk more about it later. But what if it can be proved Raj is actually twice as likely to be a Business Consultant?!

This is where Bayesian Thinking allows us to keep account of priors and likelihood information to predict a posterior probability.

The inherent cognitive bias you fell for is actually called – Base Rate Neglect. Base Rate Neglect occurs when we do not take into account the underlying proportion of a group in the population. Put it simply, what is the proportion of IT professionals to Business consultants in a business management firm? It would be fair to assume for every 1 IT professional, the firm hires 10 business consultants.

Another assumption could be made about shyness as an attribute. It would be fair to assume shyness is more common in IT professionals as compared to business consultants. Let’s assume, 75% of IT professionals are in fact shy corresponding to about 15% of business consultants.

Think of the proportion of employees in the firm as the prior odds. Now, think of the shyness as an attribute as the Likelihood. The figure below demonstrates when we take a product of the two, we get posterior odds.

Plugging in the values shows us that Raj is actually twice as likely to be a Business consultant. This proves to us that by applying Bayesian Thinking we can eliminate bias and make a sound judgment.

Now, it would be unrealistic for you to try drawing a diagram or quantifying assumptions in most of the cases. So, how do we learn to apply Bayesian Thinking without quantifying our assumptions? Turns out we could, if we understood what are the underlying principles of Bayesian Thinking are.

Principles of Bayesian Thinking

Rule 1 – Remember your priors!

As we saw earlier how easy it is to fall for the base rate neglect trap. The underlying proportion in the population is often times neglected and we as human beings have a tendency to just focus on just the attribute. Think of priors as the underlying or the background knowledge which is essentially an additional bit of information in addition to the likelihood. A product of the priors together with likelihood determines the posterior odds/probability.

Rule 2 – Question your existing belief

This is somewhat tricky and counter-intuitive to grasp but question your priors. Present yourself with a hypothesis what if your priors were irrelevant or even wrong? How will that affect your posterior probability? Would the new posterior probability be any different than the existing one if your priors are irrelevant or even wrong?

Rule 3 – Update incrementally

We live in a dynamic world where evidence and attributes are constantly shifting. While it is okay to believe in well-tested priors and likelihoods in the present moment. However, always question does my priors & likelihood still hold true today? In other words, update your beliefs incrementally as new information or evidence surfaces. A good example of this would be the shifting sentiments of the financial markets. What holds true today, may not tomorrow? Hence, the priors and likelihoods must also be incrementally updated.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Bayesian Thinking is a powerful tool to hone your judgment skills. Developing Bayesian Thinking essentially tells us what to believe in and how much confident you are about that belief. It also allows us to shift our existing beliefs in light of new information or as the evidence unfolds. Hopefully, you now have a better understanding of Bayesian Thinking and why is it so important.

On that note, we would like to say DexLab Analytics is a premium data analytics training institute located in the heart of Delhi NCR. We provide intensive training on a plethora of data-centric subjects, including data science, Python and credit risk analytics. Stay tuned for more such interesting blogs and updates!

About the Author: Nish Lau Bakshi is a professional data scientist with an actuarial background and a passion to use the power of statistics to tackle various pressing, daily life problems.

 

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